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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2023-06-07T07:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2023-06-07T07:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/25484/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the southeast in SOHO LASCO and STEREO A COR2 which is associated with a quickly ejecting filament eruption from a minor filament sitting just under AR3327 seen best in GOES 284 and SDO 193/171/304 with liftoff around 2023-06-07T06:30Z. The eruption has two footpoints, one closer to AR3327 (S25E42) and one centered around S30E30. The arrival signature starting on 2023-06-10T23:09Z is likely a stream interaction region, not an iCME. It is characterized by a sharp jump in B total, accompanied by shock-like fast oscillations of magnetic field components. Plasma parameters are not indicative of a CME arrival: a very gradual increase in solar wind speed (300 to 400 km/s) and no shocks in density and temperature. There also may be SSBC around the start of 2023-06-11. From LASSOS team discussion: this appears to be a SIR.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-06-10T16:30Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -13852.43 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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